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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.962 | $12.51 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.989 |
| $14.83 |
| 18d ago |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | 18d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.920 | $15.64 | 18d ago |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.998 | $15.97 | 18d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.973 | $16.54 | 18d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 18d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | 18d ago |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 18d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.960 | $18.24 | 18d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | 18d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | 18d ago |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 23 | $0.986 | $22.68 | 18d ago |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 26 | $0.968 | $25.16 | 18d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 28 | $0.981 | $27.47 | 18d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 30.99 | $0.981 | $30.4 | 18d ago |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 30 | $0.996 | $29.88 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.946 | $94.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.956 | $17.21 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.910 | $16.38 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.910 | $17.29 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 18 | $0.978 | $17.6 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.955 | $17.19 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.955 | $16.24 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.973 | $17.51 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.790 | $13.43 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 15 | $0.989 | $14.83 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.979 | $14.69 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.912 | $13.68 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.947 | $17.05 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.972 | $15.55 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.973 | $14.59 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.900 | $11.7 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.997 | $104.69 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 92 | $0.996 | $91.63 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 109 | $0.997 | $108.67 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 108 | $0.992 | $107.14 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 108 | $0.993 | $107.24 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 108 | $0.993 | $107.24 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.995 | $107.46 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 111 | $0.999 | $110.89 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 111 | $0.995 | $110.45 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 125 | $0.988 | $123.5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 123 | $0.989 | $121.65 | Dec 6, 2025 |