Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:10 AM UTC.
Analytics
aruxm is down $6.8 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 4:10 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Jun 11, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.97 | $0.150 | $6.35 | +$4.85 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | 3d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 03:54 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 04:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 04:10 UTC
polymarket positions
41 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 03:54 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $15.96 and losing ones cost $24.9 across 39 settled positions. 43.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.18 on “Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $4.44 on “Will France win on 2026-07-14?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 54 markets. Its open positions are worth $18.37 across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 3.03 |
| $0.330 |
| $1.98 |
| +$0.98 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1.4 | +$0.4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.250 | $0.88 | -$0.38 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.99 | $0.503 | $0.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.63 | -$0.37 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2.31 | $0.432 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.36 | -$0.64 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes| sell |
| 3.03 |
| $0.060 |
| $0.18 |
| 3d ago |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.432 | $1 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.140 | $0.88 | 22d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.410 | $0.95 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.393 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.954 | $1 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.340 | $1.03 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.503 | $1 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.362 | $2.72 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | sell | 13.75 | $0.037 | $0.51 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.050 | $0.15 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.940 | $1.13 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.090 | $0.19 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk in August?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.112 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.073 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 9.7 | $0.412 | $4 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.297 | $1.49 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | sell | 9.69 | $0.410 | $3.97 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 9.7 | $0.412 | $4 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.185 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.