Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 21.88 | $0.320 | $2.95 | -$4.05 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.88 | $0.320 | $7 | Apr 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.56 |
| +$0.56 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Leadership Change | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.74 | $0.330 | $0.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 6.61 | $0.150 | $0.99 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney lose his seat?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 29.14 | $0.034 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Thunder vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?No | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Sperm Race: Tristan (USC) vs Asher (UCLA)Tristan (USC) | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will FARTCOIN be listed on Robinhood before June?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Gold hit $3,600 before May?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Obama divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Hegseth caught drinking before June?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Is Kanye queer?Yes | buy | 27.3 | $0.037 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the next Pope be Black?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Drake's lawsuit vs. UMG dismissed before July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Buffett say "Semiconductor" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 225.4 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 326.8 | $0.153 | $50 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Apr 24, 2025 |