Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 23 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2025 to 1 Jun 2025, the highest close was 17% on 23 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 23 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 11.5% on 24 Apr 2025. $32.83K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 Apr 2025 – 1 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2025 | 17.0% |
| 1 Jun 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JCosmo | Yes | 103.79 |
| decapi | Yes | 43.48 |
| prediktor2 | Yes | 12.31 |
| dmoney229 | Yes | 7.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Hegseth is photographed or videotaped drinking alcohol between April 21 and May 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hegseth, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hegseth-caught-drinking-before-june
| ODINNA | No | 0.01 |
| SYSY.CN | No | 0.01 |
| lestAAAA | No | 0.01 |
| High-Level-Tail | No | 0.01 |
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