Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 106 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 64.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 30.5% on 19 Mar 2025. $4.26K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 64.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 25.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| 2818 | Yes | 68.07 |
| moongatandAk | Yes | 37.5 |
Universal Music Group (UMG) filed a motion to dismiss Drake's lawsuit against them for promoting Kendrick Lamar's song "Not Like Us". You can read more about that here: https://variety.com/2025/music/news/drake-kendrick-lamar-not-like-us-lawsuit-motion-dismiss-1236339456/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's lawsuit is wholly dismissed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial dismissals that result in the lawsuit remaining active will not be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. If Drake drops the lawsuit within this market's timeframe, or otherwise ceases to pursue charges, this market will resolve to "No". This market will only resolve to "Yes" if the lawsuit is wholly dismissed within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US court system, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/drakes-lawsuit-vs-umg-dismissed-before-july
| Yes |
| 8.33 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 1.62 |
| deborahd | No | 1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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