Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 15.88 | $0.413 | $6.56 | Feb 20, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 15.88 |
| $0.930 |
| $14.77 |
| Nov 16, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 in 2025?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.963 | $8.43 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?No | buy | 7.7 | $0.940 | $7.24 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.967 | $7.25 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.700 | $4.67 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.992 | $6.4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Belarus win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.950 | $6.34 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.989 | $6.34 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.44 | $0.993 | $5.4 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.990 | $5.18 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.973 | $5.18 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will MAS-IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.983 | $7.4 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.910 | $5.87 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Megaquake before August?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.965 | $0.98 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.965 | $3.94 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.959 | $4.9 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?No | buy | 6.86 | $0.959 | $6.58 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files in June?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.978 | $9.85 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?No | buy | 6.83 | $0.973 | $6.65 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?No | sell | 5.8 | $0.939 | $5.44 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?No | buy | 8.26 | $0.950 | $7.85 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.860 | $8.81 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.910 | $5.28 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | sell | 7.16 | $0.981 | $7.02 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.974 | $6.57 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.947 | $6.32 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.943 | $6.76 | May 25, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 8.25 | $0.967 | $7.98 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.44 | $0.950 | $8.97 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 6.71 | $0.975 | $6.54 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | sell | 96.96 | $0.582 | $56.45 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Yes | buy | 96.97 | $0.474 | $46 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Titans make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.980 | $5.1 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on April 11?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.983 | $11.97 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 22.13 | $0.993 | $21.98 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.994 | $22 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 22.18 | $0.992 | $22 | Apr 10, 2025 |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 22.19 | $0.994 | $22.05 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | sell | 22.09 | $0.998 | $22.05 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22.1 | $0.996 | $22.01 | Mar 8, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 22.03 | $0.999 | $22.01 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 22.04 | $0.999 | $22.02 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.998 | $1.02K | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 22.04 | $0.998 | $22 | Feb 22, 2025 |