Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 6 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 196 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2025 to 17 Sep 2025, the highest close was 99.4% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 71% on 4 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 88.5% on 2 Aug 2025. $1.39M traded over the market's life.
188 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 196 points, 6 Mar 2025 – 17 Sep 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2025 | 92.5% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joe-Biden | No | 80.24K |
| Tenthirtyone | No | 33.29K |
| Cutemonsterr | No | 17.6K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 4 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-in-2025
| Chubby-Locality | No | 14.44K |
| Np2025 | No | 11.99K |
| Bluesq | No | 7.24K |
| martinnn | No | 6.68K |
| floww11 | No | 5.78K |
| linegel | No | 5.02K |
| TIDwell | No | 4.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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