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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | sell | 180 | $0.910 | $163.8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 180 |
| $0.860 |
| $154.8 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | sell | 296.23 | $0.910 | $269.57 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | sell | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | buy | 99.32 | $0.805 | $80 | May 25, 2026 |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | May 25, 2026 |
 Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?No | buy | 112.14 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | sell | 80.95 | $0.801 | $64.84 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.811 | $11.92 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?Yes | buy | 124.75 | $0.080 | $9.98 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before August?Yes | buy | 313.62 | $0.032 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31?Yes | buy | 212.5 | $0.080 | $17 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 80.95 | $0.210 | $17 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Yes | buy | 561.27 | $0.018 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?Yes | buy | 812.29 | $0.012 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on July 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.780 | $0.78 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | sell | 59.97 | $0.630 | $37.78 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on July 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?Yes | buy | 23.93 | $0.418 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 OpenAI announces development of glasses/headset before August?Yes | buy | 29.17 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.036 | $10 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes | sell | 64.35 | $0.989 | $63.63 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Yes | buy | 64.35 | $0.389 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.200 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?Yes | buy | 41.3 | $0.605 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?Yes | buy | 169.92 | $0.147 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 59.98 | $0.417 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?No | buy | 43.86 | $0.570 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.270 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 36.48 | $0.685 | $25 | Jul 23, 2025 |