Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 13% on 21 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.8 points up, to 10.2% on 29 Jul 2025. $7.05K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 2.5% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.26K |
| liltoby | Yes | 505 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 282.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth for July 31, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be Bloomberg, specifically the datapoint for July 31, once the data is finalized. If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31
| Yes |
| 212 |
| oliviamallard | Yes | 153.85 |
| Jattlife | Yes | 62.5 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 54.97 |
| Remmos | Yes | 41.67 |
| keepEr-440 | Yes | 32.26 |
| x0405 | Yes | 23.53 |
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