Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 22.32 | $0.310 | $6.92 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 20.83 |
| $0.240 |
| $5 |
| Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 F1 season canceled or other team wins?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $390b and $400b on July 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on July 31?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.016 | $4 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 26.2 | $0.382 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Hitler" during his 4th of July remarks?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on August 1?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Trump approval >45% on August 1?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 4?Yes | buy | 68.84 | $0.363 | $25 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 4?Yes | buy | 222.53 | $0.157 | $35 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 444.49 | $0.056 | $25 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |