Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 8 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2025 to 8 Aug 2025, the highest close was 66.5% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 29% on 14 Jul 2025. $1.27M traded over the market's life.
111 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 8 Jul 2025 – 8 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2025 | 62.5% |
| 8 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lkr1 | Yes | 25.92K |
| HomTengHoi | Yes | 17.66K |
| SaiKurri | Yes | 10.34K |
| Flyingcoffee | Yes | 10.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship between July 7 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-successful-houthis-attack-shipping-in-july
| Mero99 | Yes | 10K |
| hanbaoji888 | Yes | 9.58K |
| 21probs | Yes | 8K |
| taltinho | Yes | 7.16K |
| Grumpybird | Yes | 6.5K |
| Ronenio | Yes | 5K |
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