Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.25 |
| $0.160 |
| $1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.106 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 21.95 | $0.046 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Apple" during the Purple Heart ceremony on August 7?Yes | buy | 131.13 | $0.008 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 145.7 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 25+ times during his next video?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will the next MrBeast video be between 20 and 25 min?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.014 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 9?Yes | buy | 48.1 | $0.021 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 10?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.020 | $0.8 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.619 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.071 | $0.51 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.093 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.663 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.031 | $0.14 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.673 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?No | sell | 4.85 | $0.327 | $1.59 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.082 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.206 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 3?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.006 | $6 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 16.12 | $0.062 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.138 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.018 | $1.08 | Aug 2, 2025 |