Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 23 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Jul 2025 to 26 Jul 2025, the highest close was 17% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 1.9% on 26 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 9% on 25 Jul 2025. $136.68K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 8:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Jul 2025 – 26 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2025 | 13.5% |
| 26 Jul 2025 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stustusfy | Yes | 1K |
| mesteme | Yes | 999.99 |
| Iknow0 | Yes | 504.53 |
| lissartter | Yes | 188.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Handala, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by July 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M2lrxIYbCkg
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-israel-raid-gaza-aid-ship-handala-by-friday
| S888 | Yes | 119 |
| ParaLizard | Yes | 92.37 |
| skavat | Yes | 86 |
| Guccimain | Yes | 70 |
| andarian | Yes | 40 |
| Mamorumirai | Yes | 27.5 |
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