Latest trade
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:29 PM UTC.
Analytics
Kelly.base.eth is down $149.12 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 16, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:29 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jan 2, 2025 UTC to Dec 16, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.210 | $4 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-16 12:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 22:29 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 22:29 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-12-16 12:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $729.31 and losing ones cost $861.7 across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $420.94 on “Solana all time high in Q4?” (Yes); the largest loss, $201 on “Ethereum all time high in 2024?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Dec 2025. It has traded 69 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 0.39 |
| $0.800 |
| $0.31 |
| Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 61.22 | $0.049 | $3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on September 29?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Putin body double in Alaska confirmed by August 31?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Megaquake before August?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Scott Stringer finish third in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
 US strike on Iran on June 27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in May?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will eight or more total goals be scored in regulation time?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in May?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 28, 2025 UTC |
 Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on February 23?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in NYC be 44°F or higher on February 22?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 41°F or higher on February 21?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 26-27°F on February 19?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 35°F or higher on February 20?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 36°F or higher on February 19?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Feb 19, 2025 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 185.16 | $0.810 | $149.98 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 123.54 | $0.946 | $116.87 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | sell | 185.71 | $0.560 | $104 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.650 | $103.17 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | sell | 140.34 | $0.520 | $72.98 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?No | sell | 245.39 | $0.221 | $54.31 | Feb 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jan 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 24-31?Yes | buy | 710.68 | $0.003 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will THORChain resume BTC and ETH lending in January?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 2025 January hottest on record?No | buy | 95.71 | $0.021 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?Yes | buy | 177.62 | $0.011 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Hyperliquid exploit before February?Yes | buy | 531.2 | $0.004 | $2 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Siqi Chen refund >$500,000 in $ZERO losses?Yes | buy | 703.44 | $0.004 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $100 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Abstract token launch by January 31?Yes | buy | 202.94 | $0.015 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 39°F or below on January 30?Yes | buy | 317.1 | $0.009 | $3 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will ECB lower interest rates by more than 50bps in January 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Megaquake in January?Yes | buy | 507.72 | $0.010 | $5 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.003 | $10 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.999 | $6.49 | Jan 20, 2025 UTC |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 UTC |
 Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.001 | $3 | Jan 2, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.