Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 4 Jan 2025 to 30 Jan 2025, the highest close was 0.7% on 4 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jan 2025. $428.32K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 12:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 30 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 0.7% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.74K |
| rm94 | Yes | 2.5K |
| Pluton | Yes | 413.33 |
| Sizer | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-january-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PolyDump | Yes | 32 |
| Twizzler | Yes | 11.05 |
| B7C-188 | Yes | 5 |
| uuyyy | No | 0.02 |
