Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 23 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2025 to 28 Jun 2025, the highest close was 15.5% on 23 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 28 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 5.5% on 24 Jun 2025. $26.59K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 23 Jun 2025 – 28 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 15.5% |
| 28 Jun 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kjkgdr3jhg | Yes | 818.29 |
| Fredric | Yes | 118.1 |
| Jmakin | Yes | 105.26 |
| Pheonon | Yes | 86.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an US military strike on Iran.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-strikes-iran-on-526
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| AteoCreyente | Yes | 52.63 |
| Tomekk | Yes | 8.7 |
| GaySanta | No | 0.01 |
| ineedmoreiq | No | 0.01 |
