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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.976 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.41 |
| $0.949 |
| $1.34 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.930 | $1.37 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.943 | $1.33 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.930 | $1.37 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.961 | $1.28 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 11.55 | $0.580 | $6.7 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.600 | $4.11 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.800 | $7.33 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.998 | $1.15 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.988 | $1.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.992 | $1.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.994 | $1.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.989 | $1.45 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.993 | $1.15 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.26K | $0.001 | $7.26 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.55K | $0.001 | $7.55 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.85K | $0.001 | $7.85 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.16K | $0.001 | $8.16 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.48K | $0.001 | $8.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.82K | $0.001 | $8.82 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.001 | $3.72 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.001 | $5.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.53K | $0.001 | $9.53 | May 26, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.310 | $0.59 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 2.84 | $0.997 | $2.83 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.981 | $1.05 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.940 | $1.11 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.9 | $0.652 | $1.24 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.989 | $1.13 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 13?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.998 | $1.15 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 13?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.996 | $1.11 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.969 | $1.34 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.998 | $1.11 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.995 | $1.31 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.994 | $1.22 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.995 | $1.22 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.981 | $1.45 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.900 | $1.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.992 | $1.28 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.882 | $1.33 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.995 | $1.26 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.944 | $1.12 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.943 | $1.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.984 | $1.45 | Nov 19, 2025 |