Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.3%. Yes opened at 68% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 13 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.3% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 66.5% on 21 Jan 2026. $1.02M traded over the market's life.
312 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 13 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 68.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 99.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 274.28K |
| Improbable-Monopoly | No | 3.16K |
| Soggy-Severity | No | 2.21K |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bangladesh on February 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the unicameral Bangladeshi parliament, the “House of the Nation” (Jatiya Sangsad), in this election. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the House of the Nation in this election. If additional seats are contested after the results of this election are made official (i.e. seats reserved for women are contested at a later date), those seats will not be considered for resolution of this market. If a second house of the Bangladeshi parliament is established, seats in that house will not be considered for resolution of this market. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bangladeshi Government, specifically the Bangladesh Election Commission (https://www.ecs.gov.bd/?lang=en).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bangladesh-parliamentary-election-winner-154
| No |
| 2.06K |
| Faithful-Tintype | No | 1.55K |
| md-robi | No | 1.51K |
| Ashraf3677 | No | 1.22K |
| Brief-Giggle | No | 1.2K |
| Mahadi3 | No | 1.16K |
| Subahan1 | No | 1.02K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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