Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 1.7% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 19 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 19 Jan 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 98 points up, to 99.3% on 17 Jan 2026. $5.68M traded over the market's life.
264 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 19 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 1.7% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eversince1 | No | 353.46K |
| Shoddy-Grasp | No | 189.68K |
| erpigna | No | 101.5K |
| misterspytn | No | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in a Visit of the 2025 Stanley Cup Champions The Florida Panthers" in Washington on January 15, 2026, 4PM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in a Visit of the 2025 Stanley Cup Champions The Florida Panthers" on January 15, 2026, 4PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-panthers-visit-on-january-15
| peepeepoopoofartman | No | 96K |
| lennybarr | No | 60K |
| dltuk | No | 45K |
| F3Z | No | 40K |
| JRN2828 | No | 40K |
| despairlord | No | 35.81K |
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