Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.951 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.68 |
| $0.880 |
| $5 |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.916 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.620 | $4.96 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.650 | $5.2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?No | buy | 8 | $0.650 | $5.2 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.814 | $1 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in August?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in August?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in August?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in August?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland in August?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.820 | $0.98 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.965 | $4 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 46.7 | $0.043 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 49.51 | $0.040 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 123.75 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 132.71 | $0.038 | $5 | Jul 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Anime" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Advertisement" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |