Latest trade
Jun 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:22 AM UTC.
Analytics
Staid-Sovereignty is down $2.03K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-07 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:22 AM UTC.
$34.37 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 30.0% were buys. They run from Jun 3, 2026 UTC to Jun 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.250 | $170 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-07 15:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 10:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-07 15:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $400.44 and losing ones cost $301.21 across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $72.04 on “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $49.21 on “Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Jun 2026. It has traded 111 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 384.62 |
| $0.130 |
| $50 |
| Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 215.59 | $0.116 | $25 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 13?Yes | buy | 232.65 | $0.086 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 293.78 | $0.051 | $15 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes | buy | 188.79 | $0.053 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 176.89 | $0.028 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 93.29 | $0.005 | $0.47 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 159.46 | $0.015 | $2.45 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.080 | $2.58 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 181.63 | $0.016 | $2.82 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.015 | $2.81 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.055 | $3.06 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.033 | $4.13 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.010 | $10.23 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.190 | $8.55 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 32.68 | $0.254 | $8.32 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.210 | $8.08 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.008 | $4.21 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.420 | $10.5 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 155.34 | $0.102 | $15.81 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.080 | $26.67 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 120 | $0.170 | $20.4 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | sell | 214.43 | $0.190 | $40.74 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | sell | 72.23 | $0.660 | $47.67 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | sell | 54.4 | $0.942 | $51.24 | Jun 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.500 | $528 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 59.8 | $0.848 | $50.71 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.880 | $53.01 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 57.47 | $0.940 | $54.02 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.900 | $54.22 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.870 | $54.38 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 58.26 | $0.947 | $55.17 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 70.42 | $0.810 | $57.04 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 107.76 | $0.661 | $71.24 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 697.97 | $0.481 | $336 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 9, 2026?No | sell | 54.34 | $0.999 | $54.29 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 59.52 | $0.930 | $55.35 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?No | sell | 201.69 | $0.555 | $111.97 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 278.89 | $0.398 | $111 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 127.63 | $0.870 | $111.04 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 331.43 | $0.678 | $224.71 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?Yes | buy | 53.24 | $0.019 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 263.42 | $0.380 | $100 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 54.4 | $0.919 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.