Latest trade
Sep 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:09 PM UTC.
Analytics
avelgao is down $3.92K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 17, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:09 PM UTC.
$2 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Mar 18, 2026 UTC to Sep 17, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 445.52 | $0.332 | $82.42 | -$65.58 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.67 | $0.540 | $5.76 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-01 07:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 17:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 17:09 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-01 07:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.15K and losing ones cost $2.88K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $458.21 on “LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner” (JD Gaming); the largest loss, $996.85 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Sep 2026. It has traded 297 markets. Its open positions are worth $177.36 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 33.74 |
| $0.889 |
| $32.44 |
| +$2.44 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $22.03 | +$2.03 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 7.34 | $0.954 | $7.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.540 | $5.15 | +$2.15 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.99 | $0.334 | $2.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.199 | $2.61 | +$1.89 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 64.44 | $0.093 | $1.06 | -$4.94 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 180.43 | $0.028 | $0.27 | -$4.73 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.540 |
| $3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 28.11 | $0.014 | $0.39 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends PlayoffsmCon esports | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 130.43 | $0.023 | $3 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.22 | $0.550 | $7.82 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.334 | $2 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InMIBR | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement ChidekhClement Chidekh | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
 ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Nicola Senn vs Tymur BieldiuginTymur Bieldiugin | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" during his rally with Darline Graham?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.600 | $4 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.578 | $5.77 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 38.44 | $0.685 | $26.34 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
 UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.12 | $0.071 | $2 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes | sell | 73.87 | $0.390 | $28.81 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX | sell | 15.95 | $0.070 | $1.12 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX | buy | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group BJD Gaming | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerGen.G | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerGen.G | buy | 16.48 | $0.910 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.