Analytics
avelgao is down $3.92K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 445.52 | $0.332 | $82.42 | -$65.58 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-01 07:53 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 16:16 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 16:16 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-01 07:53 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4.15K and losing ones cost $2.88K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $458.21 on “LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner” (JD Gaming); the largest loss, $996.85 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET” (Down).
It has traded 297 markets. Its open positions are worth $176.99 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 33.74 |
| $0.889 |
| $32.44 |
| +$2.44 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 22.47 | $0.890 | $22.03 | +$2.03 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 7.34 | $0.954 | $7.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.540 | $5.21 | +$2.21 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.99 | $0.334 | $2.72 | +$0.72 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.199 | $2.61 | +$1.89 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2.31 | +$0.31 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 64.44 | $0.093 | $1.03 | -$4.97 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 1.37 | $0.730 | $0.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.67 | -$0.33 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 180.43 | $0.028 | $0.27 | -$4.73 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
