Latest trade
Oct 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:34 AM UTC.
Analytics
ayrtonromania is down $1.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-05-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 17, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:34 AM UTC.
$51.34 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from May 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 17, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 651.6 | $0.153 | $100 | Oct 17, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 06:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 06:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-05-09 17:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.55K and losing ones cost $1.85K across the latest 50 settled positions. 22% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $953.34 on “Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?” (Yes); the largest loss, $258.51 on “Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 17 Oct 2025. It has traded 68 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 29.7 |
| $0.500 |
| $14.85 |
| Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Yes | sell | 85.23 | $0.999 | $85.14 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.036 | $49.99 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?Yes | buy | 245.1 | $0.510 | $125 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?Yes | buy | 85.24 | $0.590 | $50.29 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 202.75 | $0.667 | $135.29 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.005 | $10 | Oct 13, 2025 UTC |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Oct 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 249.26 | $0.058 | $14.35 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.057 | $56.52 | Oct 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.047 | $56 | Oct 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Oct 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 402.75 | $0.217 | $87.5 | Oct 4, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.420 | $87.5 | Sep 10, 2025 UTC |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.120 | $142.04 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.341 | $142.04 | Aug 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.360 | $150 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.51K | $0.024 | $60 | Jul 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 654.63 | $0.026 | $17.26 | Jul 2, 2025 UTC |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | sell | 92.48 | $0.835 | $77.26 | Jun 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?Yes | sell | 172.4 | $0.290 | $50 | Jun 23, 2025 UTC |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?Yes | buy | 92.48 | $0.324 | $30 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Xi talk before July?Yes | buy | 407.94 | $0.128 | $52.39 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Putin talk before July?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25 | Jun 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jun 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 31.65 | $0.200 | $6.33 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 218.35 | $0.200 | $43.67 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in May?Yes | buy | 151.21 | $0.129 | $19.48 | Jun 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.007 | $10 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?Yes | buy | 74.48 | $0.328 | $24.45 | Jun 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?Yes | buy | 238.33 | $0.170 | $40.5 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.270 | $40.5 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 129.03 | $0.310 | $40 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Yes | buy | 203.85 | $0.128 | $26 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.026 | $26.76 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 359.5 | $0.245 | $87.91 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?Yes | sell | 175.15 | $0.599 | $104.86 | Jun 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 368.67 | $0.271 | $100 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | buy | 125.2 | $0.451 | $56.44 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?Yes | sell | 82.95 | $0.750 | $62.21 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 122.69 | $0.768 | $94.23 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.140 | $25 | May 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump or Elon Musk Say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during the press conference?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.