Latest trade
Mar 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 9:12 PM UTC.
Analytics
jcal7 is down $34.61K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 46 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-02-28 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 9:12 PM UTC.
$301.77 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Nov 3, 2024 UTC to Mar 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 3.98K | $0.661 | $3.68K | +$1.05K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.720 | $1.18K | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-02-28 09:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 21:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 21:12 UTC
polymarket positions
47 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-02-28 09:38 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.91K and losing ones cost $39.45K across 46 settled positions. 52.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.45K on “Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $11.19K on “2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Mar 2026. It has traded 54 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.68K across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 1.67K |
| $0.700 |
| $1.17K |
| Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 12.86 | $0.700 | $9 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 4.03K | $0.620 | $2.5K | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.621 | $1.06K | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.314 | $603.57 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.300 | $540 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.269 | $1K | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 565.39 | $0.354 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 637.1 | $0.478 | $304.82 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | sell | 100.09 | $0.999 | $99.99 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | sell | 304.41 | $0.999 | $304.11 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | buy | 100.09 | $0.749 | $75 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 581.39 | $0.840 | $488.37 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 137.75 | $0.810 | $111.58 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 116.72 | $0.956 | $111.58 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 637.11 | $0.470 | $299.44 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 116.72 | $0.857 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 995.09 | $0.957 | $952.59 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.52K | $0.040 | $340 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.72K | $0.028 | $241.01 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.035 | $20 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.219 | $146.31 | Mar 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.059 | $80 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 880.85 | $0.114 | $100 | Feb 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 684 | $0.500 | $342 | Feb 6, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 995.1 | $0.502 | $500 | Feb 6, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 30, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.64 | $0.230 | $1.76 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.98 | $0.230 | $2.07 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.236 | $280 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.219 | $1K | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.280 | $999.37 | Jan 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.992 | $1.24K | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.941 | $1.84K | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.946 | $1.42K | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?No | sell | 3.19K | $0.786 | $2.51K | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?No | sell | 3.24K | $0.994 | $3.22K | Nov 7, 2024 UTC |
 Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.470 | $500 | Nov 5, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 120.56 | $0.829 | $100 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Nov 3, 2024 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.