Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 3.98K | $0.661 | $3.68K | +$1.05K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.64K | $0.720 | $1.18K | Mar 10, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.03K |
| $0.620 |
| $2.5K |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.621 | $1.06K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.92K | $0.314 | $603.57 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.269 | $1K | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 565.39 | $0.354 | $200 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | sell | 637.1 | $0.478 | $304.82 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.180 | $90 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | sell | 100.09 | $0.999 | $99.99 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | sell | 304.41 | $0.999 | $304.11 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No | buy | 100.09 | $0.749 | $75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 581.39 | $0.840 | $488.37 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 137.75 | $0.810 | $111.58 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | sell | 116.72 | $0.956 | $111.58 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 637.11 | $0.470 | $299.44 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 581.4 | $0.860 | $500 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 116.72 | $0.857 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 995.09 | $0.957 | $952.59 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.52K | $0.040 | $340 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.72K | $0.028 | $241.01 | Mar 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.035 | $20 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.219 | $146.31 | Mar 10, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.360 | $3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.059 | $80 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 880.85 | $0.114 | $100 | Feb 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 684 | $0.500 | $342 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 995.1 | $0.502 | $500 | Feb 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | Jan 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.236 | $280 | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.219 | $1K | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.280 | $999.37 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.992 | $1.24K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | sell | 1.95K | $0.941 | $1.84K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.946 | $1.42K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?No | sell | 3.19K | $0.786 | $2.51K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?No | sell | 3.24K | $0.994 | $3.22K | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 6?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.470 | $500 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 120.56 | $0.829 | $100 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?No | buy | 734.38 | $0.800 | $587.5 | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 915.33 | $0.810 | $741.42 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.940 | $587.5 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more?No | buy | 3.19K | $0.627 | $2K | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | Oct 25, 2024 |