Latest trade
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:47 PM UTC.
Analytics
christmas-punch is down $74.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-22 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 22, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:47 PM UTC.
$4.92 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 22, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.140 | $24.64 | +$19.64 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-10-22?No | buy | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 3h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-22 17:18 UTC
Polymarket public position response
26 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 23:47 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 23:47 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-22 17:18 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $692.24 and losing ones cost $13.69 across the latest 50 settled positions. 98% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $66.03 on “Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?” (No); the largest loss, $13.69 on “Dota 2: CyberHero vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A” (CyberHero).
Its most recent trade on record was on 22 Oct 2026. It has traded 623 markets. Its open positions are worth $147.61 across 26 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Mbappé |
| 8.92 |
| $0.560 |
| $6.33 |
| +$1.34 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.720 | $6.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.650 | $5.96 | +$0.96 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7.71 | $0.648 | $5.92 | +$0.92 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | No | 6.09 | $0.820 | $5.83 | +$0.83 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 6.17 | $0.800 | $5.46 | +$0.52 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | Rodri | 7.24 | $0.673 | $5.43 | +$0.56 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo? | No | 18.51 | $0.270 | $5.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 5.42 | $0.919 | $5.28 | +$0.3 |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 6.09 | $0.810 | $5.27 | +$0.33 |
 Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October? | Yes | 12.34 | $0.840 | $5.12 | -$5.24 |
 Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | $0 |
 Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 7.04 | $0.710 | $4.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | Yes | 8.92 | $0.560 | $4.86 | -$0.13 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 23.67 | $0.169 | $4.82 | +$0.82 |
 Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-24? | No | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 14 | $0.340 | $4.76 | $0 |
 Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | Yes | 108.69 | $0.044 | $4.67 | -$0.16 |
| Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.370 | $4.39 | -$0.61 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | Yes | 17.85 | $0.280 | $3.66 | -$1.34 |
 Will Valorant Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 42.92 | $0.054 | $2.73 | +$0.41 |
| buy |
| 6.02 |
| $0.830 |
| $5 |
| 4h ago |
 Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerTheBot$ | buy | 22.72 | $0.220 | $5 | 4h ago |
| Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity | buy | 19.5 | $0.840 | $16.38 | 4h ago |
| Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | 4h ago |
 Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.450 | $4.41 | 4h ago |
| Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.480 | $4.7 | 4h ago |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerAstra Invicta | buy | 19.04 | $0.230 | $4.38 | 4h ago |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION | buy | 20.69 | $0.780 | $16.14 | 4h ago |
| Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity | buy | 14.84 | $0.750 | $11.13 | 5h ago |
| Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity | buy | 5.53 | $0.770 | $4.26 | 5h ago |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerAstra Invicta | buy | 6.15 | $0.270 | $1.66 | 6h ago |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerAstra Invicta | buy | 9.59 | $0.270 | $2.59 | 6h ago |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta - Game 1 WinnerAstra Invicta | buy | 4.11 | $0.270 | $1.11 | 6h ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid | buy | 19.48 | $0.590 | $11.49 | 7h ago |
| Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerCyberHero | buy | 19.12 | $0.360 | $6.88 | 8h ago |
| Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerCyberHero | buy | 0.89 | $0.360 | $0.32 | 8h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?No | buy | 10.77 | $0.270 | $2.91 | 9h ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win | buy | 14.66 | $0.580 | $8.5 | 9h ago |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | 9h ago |
| Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx | buy | 20.1 | $0.360 | $7.24 | 11h ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?No | buy | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | 12h ago |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.400 | $4.16 | 14h ago |
| Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion | buy | 19.75 | $0.280 | $5.53 | 15h ago |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.958 | $5.57 | 15h ago |
 Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-21?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.590 | $4.91 | 22h ago |
| Exact Score: Columbus Crew 0 - 0 Saint Louis City SC?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.243 | $5 | 22h ago |
 Hornets vs. NetsHornets | buy | 7.14 | $0.690 | $4.93 | 22h ago |
| Mavericks vs. RocketsRockets | buy | 6.25 | $0.780 | $4.88 | 22h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 23h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 7.81 | $0.630 | $4.92 | 23h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under | buy | 9.61 | $0.510 | $4.9 | 23h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 23h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 23h ago |
| Columbus Crew vs. Saint Louis City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | 23h ago |
| Bucks vs. WizardsWizards | buy | 11.11 | $0.440 | $4.89 | 23h ago |
 Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)D.C. United SC | buy | 9.61 | $0.500 | $4.81 | 1d ago |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.270 | $0.74 | 1d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | sell | 19.23 | $0.980 | $18.85 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 13.69 | $0.720 | $9.86 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 19.23 | $0.440 | $8.46 | 1d ago |
 Lisbon (Doubles): Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Gurri/IzquierdoGurri/Izquierdo | sell | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Lisbon (Doubles): Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Gurri/IzquierdoGurri/Izquierdo | buy | 2.34 | $0.230 | $0.54 | 1d ago |
| Lisbon (Doubles): Drzewiecki/Matuszewski vs Gurri/IzquierdoGurri/Izquierdo | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 1d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 11.36 | $0.870 | $9.88 | 1d ago |
 Counter-Strike: BARCA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group ABARCA | buy | 16.12 | $0.310 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Yes | sell | 12.19 | $0.370 | $4.51 | 1d ago |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?Yes | buy | 12.19 | $0.380 | $4.63 | 1d ago |
| Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs TheBot$ - Game 2 WinnerTheBot$ | buy | 17.08 | $0.170 | $2.9 | 1d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 106 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.