Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, up 11 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 36.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 37%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 49% on 17 Oct 2026.
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais”, ahead of Olympique Lyonnais at 28.5%.
$35.44K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $36.86K since listing. The order book holds $313.08K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 166 trades, $6.92K bought Yes and $30.11K bought No; the largest was a $18.41K buy of No at 52.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Kyn008 with 34.7K shares; the largest No position is useruserlol with 35.5K. Ten wallets hold 87.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| useruserlol | No | 35.48K |
| Kyn008 | Yes | 34.67K |
| alexubet | Yes | 19.15K |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 22, 2026 If TSG 1899 Hoffenheim wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-hof-lyo-2026-10-22
| UpTheBlues |
| No |
| 7.65K |
| Takon88 | Yes | 5.86K |
| suzmie | No | 4.2K |
| ferdinand2 | No | 3.13K |
| ff66868 | No | 3K |
| FYYY0689 | No | 2.17K |
| Nippy-Connection | No | 2.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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