Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 93.85 | $0.844 | $90.61 | +$11.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 23.02 |
| $0.705 |
| $15.88 |
| -$0.36 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 11.63 | $0.430 | $9.48 | +$4.48 |
 Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $9.35 | +$5.05 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 15 | $0.660 | $9.3 | -$0.6 |
 Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 9.96 | $0.460 | $8.81 | +$4.23 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.301 | $5.9 | +$2.89 |
 Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | No | 5.74 | $0.871 | $5.53 | +$0.53 |
 Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | No | 6.17 | $0.811 | $5.5 | +$0.5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 5.36 | $0.560 | $4.53 | +$1.53 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.490 | $4.48 | +$2.03 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.460 | $4.33 | +$2.03 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.540 | $4.3 | +$1.6 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 10 | $0.370 | $4.2 | +$0.5 |
 Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.013 | $4.06 | +$3.54 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | 5 | $0.440 | $4.03 | +$1.83 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | No | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.560 | $3.25 | -$0.75 |
 Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | No | 5 | $0.400 | $3.05 | +$1.05 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 6 | $0.280 | $3 | +$1.32 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 5 | $0.450 | $2.33 | +$0.08 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.400 | $2.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | Yes | 5 | $0.390 | $2.1 | +$0.15 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.189 | $1.96 | -$1.82 |
 Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 6 | $0.380 | $1.86 | -$0.42 |
| buy |
| 2.75 |
| $0.363 |
| $1 |
| 11d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 11d ago |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.249 | $1.49 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.560 | $4 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | 11d ago |
 Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.119 | $0.6 | 11d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.119 | $1.07 | 11d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.252 | $1.51 | 11d ago |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.155 | $1.09 | 11d ago |
| Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 11d ago |
| Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | 11d ago |
 Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.199 | $1.19 | 18d ago |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | 18d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 18d ago |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | 18d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 21d ago |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 22d ago |
 Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 22d ago |
 Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | 22d ago |
 Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.300 | $1.8 | 23d ago |
 Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.380 | $2.28 | 23d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | 23d ago |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 9.94 | $0.776 | $7.71 | 24d ago |
| Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.154 | $1.03 | 24d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.285 | $1.71 | 24d ago |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.380 | $2.28 | 24d ago |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 24d ago |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No | sell | 5 | $0.730 | $3.65 | 24d ago |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | 24d ago |
 Mega Gengar ex Price Over/Under $1,118.76 on August 31?Over | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | 24d ago |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.260 | $1.56 | 24d ago |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.937 | $5.38 | 25d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.207 | $1.24 | 25d ago |
 Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.241 | $1.45 | 25d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.072 | $1.08 | 25d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.3 | $0.071 | $0.52 | 25d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | buy | 7 | $0.154 | $1.08 | 25d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | 25d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.346 | $2.07 | 25d ago |
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | 26d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.320 | $1.92 | 26d ago |
 Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.253 | $1.52 | 26d ago |
| Will Sandra Hüller win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.342 | $2.05 | 26d ago |