Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 1.26 | $0.972 | $1.23 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.972 | $1.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.25 |
| $0.974 |
| $1.22 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.975 | $1.22 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.991 | $1.23 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.995 | $1.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.989 | $1.22 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 12?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.995 | $1.4 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 2?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.996 | $1.46 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.977 | $1.42 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.996 | $1.42 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.988 | $1.4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.890 | $1.41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.930 | $1.47 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.994 | $1.46 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.987 | $1.46 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.962 | $1.43 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.987 | $1.41 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.999 | $1.41 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–45.9% on December 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.977 | $1.38 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.38 | $0.998 | $1.38 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.978 | $1.38 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.940 | $1.33 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.32 | $0.997 | $1.32 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.994 | $1.32 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Vít Rakušan be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,600 on October 19?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.917 | $1.19 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Lula out before April?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.972 | $1.16 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.990 | $3.49 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.989 | $3.49 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 0.96 | $0.990 | $0.95 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 State wide recount in Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.28 | $0.994 | $2.27 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 GME market cap >$20b on Friday?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.989 | $1.46 | Dec 6, 2024 |
 Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.988 | $2.5 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.989 | $0.56 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.998 | $0.79 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.998 | $1.49 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.988 | $2.15 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will Roderic O'Gorman be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 0.73 | $0.997 | $0.73 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.997 | $1.59 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | sell | 37.84K | $0.001 | $37.84 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?Yes | buy | 37.84K | $0.001 | $37.84 | Nov 19, 2024 |
 Will Republicans control 226 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 37.84K | $0.001 | $37.84 | Nov 19, 2024 |