Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 122.36 | $0.930 | $102.17 | -$11.62 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.36 | $0.930 | $113.79 | Jul 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.590 |
| $92.5 |
| +$33.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.590 |
| $59 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.820 | $82 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.12 in July?No | buy | 35.67 | $0.945 | $33.72 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 267.05 | $0.989 | $264.11 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.861 | $25.83 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 25.09 | $0.860 | $21.58 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.993 | $99.32 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 217.36 | $0.963 | $209.32 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | sell | 224.81 | $0.931 | $209.3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 224.81 | $0.850 | $191.07 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.981 | $98.11 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11?Yes | buy | 92.98 | $0.981 | $91.21 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes | sell | 10.56 | $0.998 | $10.54 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.56 | $0.979 | $10.34 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?No | sell | 60 | $0.982 | $58.92 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?No | buy | 440.01 | $0.880 | $387.21 | Sep 24, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 299.34 | $0.987 | $295.45 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 227 | $0.987 | $224.05 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before October?No | sell | 239.96 | $0.746 | $178.89 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 98 | $0.790 | $77.42 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?Yes | buy | 868.15 | $0.740 | $642.43 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 38 | $0.730 | $27.74 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before October?No | buy | 35.56 | $0.780 | $27.74 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.830 | $20.75 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| ETH flipped in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 74.64 | $0.934 | $69.71 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 9.14 | $0.716 | $6.54 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 6.55 | $0.962 | $6.3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 6.56 | $0.960 | $6.3 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 6.56 | $0.838 | $5.5 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 34.37 | $0.160 | $5.5 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 34.37 | $0.270 | $9.28 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | sell | 8.45 | $0.400 | $3.38 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Saturday?No | buy | 9.89 | $0.920 | $9.1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?No | buy | 48.33 | $0.840 | $40.6 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.670 | $10.47 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?No | buy | 8.45 | $0.710 | $6 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 10 | $0.972 | $9.72 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Jun 20, 2025 |