Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 298 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 57% on 11 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 39.5% on 14 Mar 2025. $319.91K traded over the market's life.
126 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 298 points, 11 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 27.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 5.94K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 1.85K |
| LowValue | Yes | 1.7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between March 9, and December 31, 2025 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eth-flipped-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| cowcat | Yes | 956.99 |
| Matheos | Yes | 799.78 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 798 |
| RockyC | Yes | 539.05 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 438.99 |
| TribeV | Yes | 403.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
