Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 62% on 14 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 56.5% on 23 Aug 2025. $10M traded over the market's life.
616 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 368 points · 31 Dec 2024 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 51.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| djwcx | Yes | 147.2K |
| mm2308 | Yes | 115.97K |
| Dreary-Buffer | Yes | 66.07K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETHUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 21:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $6,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-2025
| greensbeans | Yes | 55.5K |
| Perochi | Yes | 40.94K |
| Bentoxeth | Yes | 33.18K |
| Joobles | Yes | 31.65K |
| Swissfeel | Yes | 30K |
| bookworm | Yes | 29.06K |
| newchef | Yes | 24.08K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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