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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 44.65 | $0.963 | $43 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes| buy |
| 17.78 |
| $0.900 |
| $16 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?Yes | buy | 34.45 | $0.987 | $34 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 4?Yes | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 61.25 | $0.980 | $60 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 6?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 24.24 | $0.990 | $24 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 6?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 6?Yes | buy | 9.05 | $0.994 | $9 | Mar 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.850 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 34.02 | $0.970 | $33 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No | buy | 34.07 | $0.998 | $34 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.967 | $12 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.975 | $6 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 26.1 | $0.996 | $26 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 13.18 | $0.986 | $13 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 25.17 | $0.914 | $23 | Jul 14, 2025 |
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 25.75 | $0.971 | $25 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | May 14, 2025 |
Will ETH hard fork before May?No | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Ethereum above $1,600 on April 25?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high by June 30?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Nothing Ever HappensYes | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | Apr 20, 2025 |
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.992 | $12 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Solana hit $300 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 21.23 | $0.989 | $21 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.919 | $3 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?Yes | buy | 14.36 | $0.975 | $14 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.430 | $1.5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 4, 2025 |
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Browns vs. RavensRavens | buy | 6.05 | $0.992 | $6 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.986 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 24.14 | $0.994 | $24 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 6.16 | $0.974 | $6 | Nov 23, 2024 |
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 23, 2024 |
Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.996 | $8 | Nov 23, 2024 |