Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 21 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 287 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 100% on 1 Jan 2025 and the lowest 8% on 13 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 66.5% on 8 Jun 2024. $262.56K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 7:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 287 points, 21 Mar 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2024 | 54.5% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.24K |
| Spookter | No | 616.25 |
| MxT | No | 450 |
This is a market on predicting the number of SpaceX Starship launches that successfully reach space in the year 2024.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2024
| cosnil | Yes | 207.23 |
| mpk | No | 100.33 |
| Thr33Bets | Yes | 61.23 |
| Xofee | No | 60.33 |
| liquidtension | Yes | 58.82 |
| aCMXJamcYbJxHhBj | Yes | 51.02 |
| BananaGuy | No | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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