Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 12.2 | $0.960 | $11.71 | 17d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 13.3 |
| $0.986 |
| $13.11 |
| 17d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.948 | $14.22 | 17d ago |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 14.8 | $0.982 | $14.53 | 17d ago |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | 17d ago |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.930 | $16.74 | 17d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.961 | $17.3 | 17d ago |
 US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.968 | $17.42 | 17d ago |
 Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 17d ago |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | 17d ago |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | 17d ago |
 Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.998 | $17.96 | 17d ago |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | 17d ago |
 Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.922 | $17.52 | 17d ago |
 China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.955 | $18.15 | 17d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.962 | $18.28 | 17d ago |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.980 | $18.62 | 17d ago |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.957 | $11.68 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.976 | $18.54 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.952 | $17.14 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.959 | $18.22 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.740 | $13.32 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.904 | $17.18 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.965 | $17.37 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 19 | $0.994 | $18.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.910 | $17.29 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.850 | $15.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 11 | $0.977 | $10.75 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.974 | $17.53 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.880 | $16.72 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.997 | $17.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 14.8 | $0.981 | $14.52 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 13.3 | $0.951 | $12.65 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 109 | $0.997 | $108.67 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.998 | $107.78 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Fed abolished in 2025?No | sell | 105 | $0.998 | $104.79 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.997 | $108.67 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 97 | $0.996 | $96.61 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 111 | $0.996 | $110.56 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 111 | $0.992 | $110.11 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 111 | $0.993 | $110.22 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 109 | $0.993 | $108.24 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.995 | $108.46 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 106 | $0.990 | $104.95 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 106 | $0.996 | $105.58 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 123 | $0.991 | $121.89 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 123 | $0.992 | $122.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |