Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 95.4 | $0.939 | $91.15 | +$1.57 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.980 |
| $19.6 |
| May 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.947 | $67.24 | May 5, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.924 | $92.4 | May 5, 2026 |
 Fed abolished in 2025?No | buy | 89.3 | $0.996 | $88.94 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.989 | $7.56 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.996 | $9.96 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 33 | $0.987 | $32.57 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.993 | $79.44 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 80 | $0.963 | $77.04 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.997 | $49.85 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?No | buy | 239.7 | $0.997 | $238.98 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.966 | $96.6 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI buy X before July?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.996 | $15.06 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.995 | $19.9 | Mar 18, 2025 |
 Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?No | buy | 38.3 | $0.998 | $38.22 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.952 | $95.2 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Was Trump hacked?No | buy | 133.42 | $0.964 | $128.62 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 30 | $0.997 | $29.91 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Will Sonic launch before 2025?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.910 | $20.93 | Nov 21, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 25 | $0.982 | $24.55 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 24.88 | $0.999 | $24.86 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 24.88 | $0.997 | $24.81 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 X banned in EU before October?Yes | buy | 72.81 | $0.005 | $0.36 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?No | buy | 33.58 | $0.994 | $33.38 | Sep 26, 2024 |
 Will FTX payouts start in Q3 2024?No | buy | 66 | $0.997 | $65.8 | Sep 26, 2024 |