Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 1 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 244 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 50.7% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 50.7% on 28 Jun 2024. $386.48K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 9:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 244 points, 1 Feb 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2024 | 24.5% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 67.09K |
| snip3r | Yes | 7.16K |
| Ghost144 | Yes | 3.05K |
This is a market on the date of the first payout to creditors following the FTX bankruptcy proceedings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-ftx-bankruptcy-payout
| TonyDibiase | Yes | 2.73K |
| Coffeepillow | Yes | 1.65K |
| purplenurple-735 | Yes | 1.07K |
| gogo1 | Yes | 1.03K |
| Exile | Yes | 500 |
| Athletic-Packet | Yes | 484.66 |
| Monumental-Ocean | Yes | 333 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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