Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 11 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 307 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2024 to 12 Nov 2024, the highest close was 0.7% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Oct 2024. $35.23M traded over the market's life.
572 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 13, 3:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 307 points, 11 Jan 2024 – 12 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2024 | 0.5% |
| 12 Nov 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.92M |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.96M |
| therealbatman | Yes | 1.4M |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-popular-vote-winner-2024
| Emerald Beacon F675 | Yes | 974.53K |
| LaCuriosidad | Yes | 839.31K |
| ABM | Yes | 126.24K |
| ER01MM | Yes | 62.5K |
| ER03PT | Yes | 53.07K |
| ttre | Yes | 44.15K |
| BakeryOfModena | Yes | 30K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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