Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 5% on 20 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 5% on 20 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Sep 2024. $32.5K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 7:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 20 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grave-Scrutiny | Yes | 222.22 |
| Psychotrading | Yes | 214.59 |
| markt0ny | Yes | 90.91 |
| nastrudomas | Yes | 47.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if use of X/Twitter is banned within EU member states for the majority of EU member state citizens between August 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Banned" is defined as EU citizens are officially barred from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and X/Twitter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/x-banned-in-eu-before-october
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Malikpi1998 | Yes | 43.33 |
| Livid-Actor | Yes | 20 |
| Criptobank | Yes | 8.33 |
| S1mplez | Yes | 5.88 |
| m-m | No | 5 |
| boldurev | Yes | 2.86 |
