Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 11 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 141 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 4.5% on 11 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jun 2025. $99.82K traded over the market's life.
516 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 141 points, 11 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2025 | 4.5% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wfwqwr | Yes | 999.8 |
| foxxy | Yes | 449.88 |
| UccsFfCeXI | Yes | 177 |
On February 10, Sam Altman posted "no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want" (see: https://x.com/sama/status/1889059531625464090). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that X (formerly Twitter) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A merger in which X subsumes/acquires OpenAI will not qualify. An formal announcement of an agreement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk, OpenAI or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-acquire-x-before-july
| Yes |
| 172 |
| pvinis | Yes | 168.77 |
| wMigIMfUjq | Yes | 136.38 |
| LaGGeZ | Yes | 38.46 |
| Amber Voyager F803 | Yes | 20 |
| Solar Pulse 162B | Yes | 20 |
| Swift Atlas F9CB | Yes | 19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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