Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 28 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 28 Sep 2024 to 22 Oct 2024, the highest close was 100% on 12 Oct 2024 and the lowest 49% on 28 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 87.5% on 29 Sep 2024. $526.2K traded over the market's life.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 1:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 28 Sep 2024 – 22 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2024 | 49.0% |
| 22 Oct 2024 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EdoubleDown | No | 6.66K |
| babilombc | No | 5.58K |
| Lunar Raven C400 | No | 412 |
| nimaaa | No | 370.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Scroll launches a token and announces they have performed an airdrop between September 26 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Scroll team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airdrops-in-2024
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Unwitting-Gravity | No | 199.98 |
| Amber Kestrel B184 | No | 176 |
| Jaredfromburgerking | No | 171 |
| BetPolyGenius420 | Yes | 140 |
| lostsaly | No | 99.99 |
| Ramzan | Yes | 93.37 |
