Latest trade
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 10:48 PM UTC.
Analytics
Keen Pioneer 4694 is down $216.73 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 20 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 18, 10:48 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 32 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jan 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
94.9% from three wins
Its three largest wins made up this share of all gains across 20 settled positions.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 31.37 | $0.630 | $19.6 | -$0.16 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 31.37 | $0.630 | $19.76 | 9d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 20:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-18 22:48 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-18 22:48 UTC
polymarket positions
21 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 17:28 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $23.63 and losing ones cost $240.36 across 20 settled positions. 30% of them closed in profit. The three largest wins account for 94.9% of all gains.
The largest win was $13.53 on “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $92.18 on “Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes).
It first traded on 20 Jan 2026 and most recently on 9 Oct 2026. It has traded 32 markets. Its open positions are worth $64.3 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 24.33 |
| $0.411 |
| $11.74 |
| +$1.74 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $8.95 | -$11.05 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13.28 | $0.527 | $6.07 | -$0.93 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 117.06 | $0.170 | $4.68 | -$15.22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $3.52 | -$1.48 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Yes | 50.88 | $0.098 | $2.21 | -$2.79 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 30.43 | $0.230 | $2.13 | -$4.87 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $1.69 | -$3.31 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $1.35 | -$1.65 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $0.77 | -$4.23 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 250 | $0.008 | $0.38 | -$1.63 |
| buy |
| 24.33 |
| $0.411 |
| $10 |
| 9d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Yes | buy | 50.88 | $0.098 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.43 | $0.230 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.37 | $0.076 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 77.69 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 13.28 | $0.527 | $7 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Epstein storage units raided in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.97 | $0.278 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.280 | $3 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.082 | $89.28 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.011 | $13.93 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 159.55 | $0.062 | $9.95 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 117.06 | $0.170 | $19.9 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.986 | $19.9 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 35.62 | $0.810 | $28.85 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 35.62 | $0.810 | $28.85 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 29.11 | $0.957 | $27.86 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 29.11 | $0.957 | $27.86 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.89 | $0.021 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.009 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.005 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes | buy | 742.86 | $0.070 | $52 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.93 | $0.295 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.