Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 51% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 55.5% on 14 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 50.5% on 13 May 2026. $253.5K traded over the market's life.
87 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 5:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 48.19K |
| Primary-Reform | Yes | 40.62K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 13.63K |
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for July is scheduled to be released on July 31, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's July 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-july-659
| Yes |
| 10.97K |
| philou747 | Yes | 10K |
| babybaby1234 | Yes | 10K |
| ronagask | Yes | 9.42K |
| slippy0 | Yes | 5K |
| cryptochicken1 | Yes | 4.23K |
| blub.0 | Yes | 4.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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