Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 42 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
The high was 46.5% on 30 Jan 2026 and the low 4.2% on 12 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 8.5%; a month ago, 10.9%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 18.5% on 31 Jan 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?”.
$50.93K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.96K, with a 4.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.28K bought Yes and $13.99K bought No; the largest was a $3.56K buy of No at 91.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Dim-Pressurisation with 3.7K shares; the largest No position is bluemario with 5.5K. Ten wallets hold 70.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 11:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 46.5% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bluemario | No | 5.54K |
| Dim-Pressurisation | Yes | 3.69K |
| Neon Oracle A8A9 | No | 1.14K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026
| sybb | No | 1.1K |
| 110101197001014199 | Yes | 999.99 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 766.17 |
| Daviddu0813 | No | 642.8 |
| HuskyRRRRR | Yes | 633.69 |
| BarcelonaRS | Yes | 403.59 |
| Curry11 | Yes | 370 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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