Analytics
Yes is at 4%, down 45 points from 49% when the market opened on 30 Jan 2026.
Across the 241 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 30 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.7%; a month before, 4.2%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 9.5% on 31 Jan 2026.
It is one of 9 markets under “Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?”.
$13.82K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.87K, with a 2.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 213 trades, $82.05 bought Yes and $5.75K bought No; the largest was a $1.71K sell of No at 95.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Nadmi with 279 shares; the largest No position is Bruce0913 with 671. Ten wallets hold 61.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 241 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 49.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.1% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor. 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect. A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-xi-jinping-purge-in-2026
| ACara |
| Yes |
| 260 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 205.18 |
| raymond2027 | No | 176.82 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 164.75 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 130 |
| iliabouchouev | No | 129.88 |
| anothertime | Yes | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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