Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.100 | $16.5 | -$13.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 330 | $0.069 | $22.77 | 15d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.100 |
| $11.7 |
| -$8.3 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 167 | $0.120 | $10.02 | -$10.02 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? | No | 170 | $0.120 | $7.91 | -$12.5 |
| sell |
| 333.98 |
| $0.093 |
| $31.07 |
| 20d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 77.5 | $0.280 | $21.7 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.004 | $0.8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.277 | $41.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.010 | $1.93 | May 24, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.058 | $5.84 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.626 | $62.63 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 8 | $0.400 | $3.2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.991 | $99.1 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.406 | $20.3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.300 | $75 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.049 | $24.6 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No | sell | 799.99 | $0.080 | $64 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.683 | $68.34 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | sell | 100 | $0.593 | $59.27 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.041 | $4.06 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.008 | $8 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No | sell | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | sell | 113.63 | $0.190 | $21.59 | May 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.440 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No | buy | 60 | $0.130 | $7.8 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | May 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.061 | $6.06 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.522 | $52.2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.36 | $0.840 | $8.7 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 65.46 | $0.770 | $50.4 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | sell | 5.08 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | sell | 30.73 | $0.250 | $7.68 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes | sell | 52.84 | $0.235 | $12.39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.130 | $39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 399.97 | $0.100 | $40 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 108.01 | $0.370 | $39.96 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.465 | $46.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.529 | $52.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.079 | $7.92 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | Apr 23, 2026 |