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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.99K | $0.917 | $7.47K | +$144.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 848.91 | $0.920 | $781 | Aug 6, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 5.26K |
| $0.915 |
| $4.92K |
| +$104.8 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 2.49K | $0.840 | $2.3K | +$205.98 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17K | $0.900 | $2.05K | +$97.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.17K | $0.920 | $2.01K | +$10.87 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 1.73K | $0.970 | $1.67K | -$6.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 920.61 | $0.952 | $899.89 | +$23.89 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 788.24 | $0.825 | $673.94 | +$23.94 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 687.67 | $0.873 | $659.14 | +$59.14 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | No | 642.8 | $0.916 | $596.84 | +$7.73 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 322.59 | $0.886 | $301.63 | +$15.63 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 300 | $0.929 | $290.85 | +$12.15 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 287.32 | $0.780 | $251.41 | +$27.25 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 381.69 | $0.684 | $131.68 | -$129.32 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 126.58 | $0.790 | $120.82 | +$20.82 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 122.44 | $0.817 | $118.58 | +$18.58 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 112.36 | $0.890 | $108.03 | +$8.03 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | No | 97.44 | $0.902 | $96.32 | +$8.43 |
| buy |
| 4.31K |
| $0.928 |
| $4K |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 281.69 | $0.710 | $200 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No | buy | 530.48 | $0.943 | $500 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 588.24 | $0.850 | $500 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.912 | $2K | Aug 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.890 | $1.03K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.890 | $1K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.900 | $1.95K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.920 | $2K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.985 | $2K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.940 | $2K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 697.22 | $0.975 | $680 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 222.59 | $0.898 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 254.68 | $0.785 | $200 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | sell | 31.5 | $0.994 | $31.31 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.971 | $1K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | buy | 520.61 | $0.960 | $500 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 515.95 | $0.969 | $500 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 545.51 | $0.917 | $500 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 947.37 | $0.950 | $900 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 1.19 | $0.890 | $1.06 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | sell | 3.14 | $0.990 | $3.11 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.965 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 103.63 | $0.965 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 103.66 | $0.965 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 103.83 | $0.963 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.880 | $440 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 11.26 | $0.916 | $10.31 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No | buy | 24.5 | $0.979 | $23.99 | May 21, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 115.09 | $0.943 | $108.53 | May 21, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.72 | $0.870 | $38.04 | May 16, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes | sell | 175 | $0.255 | $44.57 | May 15, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 105.59 | $0.997 | $105.27 | May 12, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | May 11, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.06 | $0.923 | $21.28 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.08 | $0.880 | $32.63 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.960 | $5.8 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.840 | $0.27 | May 11, 2026 |