Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.978 |
| $1 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $6.00 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Meta reach $960 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETUp | buy | 506 | $0.500 | $253 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.6K | $0.500 | $800 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.7K | $0.500 | $850 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.8K | $0.500 | $900 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 2.2K | $0.500 | $1.1K | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will both OP_CTV and OP_CAT be activated in 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 USDT depeg in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |