Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 31 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.2% on 1 Dec 2025 and the low 3.5% on 26 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 86 points up, to 97.2% on 29 Nov 2025. $148.48K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 31 Oct 2025 – 1 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | 71.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.45K |
| IvanVand | No | 1.15K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.07K |
| untaken | No | 672.18 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between November 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-different-countries-will-israel-strike-in-november
| Crocotrader | No | 333 |
| AntonioSoto8053 | No | 209 |
| brokendreamer | No | 200 |
| SandraHardy4985 | No | 185 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 173 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 156 |
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